While the visitors did grab a 2-1 win over this opponent a couple of weeks ago, Timao are a difficult side to beat at the Neo Quimica Arena, where they sport an 11-match unbeaten streak.
Neither side will want to be behind heading into the second leg, and we feel they will likely end up settling for a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 46.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.