SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 60.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Bologna |
60.62% ( 0.02) | 22.29% ( -0.17) | 17.09% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 48.74% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.95% ( 0.93) | 49.05% ( -0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.87% ( 0.83) | 71.13% ( -0.83) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.26% ( 0.33) | 15.74% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.16% ( 0.6) | 44.84% ( -0.59) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.84% ( 0.74) | 42.16% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.43% ( 0.63) | 78.57% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 12.26% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.18)2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.12% Total : 60.61% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.83% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.77% Total : 17.09% |
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