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Coppa Italia | Final
May 19, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
JL

Atalanta
1 - 2
Juventus

Malinovskyi (41')
Malinovskyi (36'), Romero (78'), Freuler (85'), de Roon (88'), Ilicic (89')
Toloi (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kulusevski (31'), Chiesa (73')
Chiellini (27'), de Ligt (40')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawJuventus
37.48%25.05%37.46%
Both teams to score 57.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.11%45.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.8%68.2%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89%24.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.59%58.4%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88%24.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58%58.42%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 37.48%
    Juventus 37.46%
    Draw 25.05%
Atalanta BCDrawJuventus
2-1 @ 8.37%
1-0 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 5.88%
3-1 @ 3.97%
3-2 @ 2.82%
3-0 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-2 @ 1%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 37.48%
1-1 @ 11.76%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.05%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-1 @ 8.27%
0-2 @ 5.88%
1-3 @ 3.97%
2-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.79%
1-4 @ 1.41%
2-4 @ 1%
0-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 37.46%

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