Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Vicenza had a probability of 21.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Vicenza win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
