Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%).