SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
44.76% ( -0.27) | 24.78% ( -0.12) | 30.45% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 56.64% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.7% ( 0.73) | 46.3% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.41% ( 0.68) | 68.59% ( -0.68) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% ( 0.19) | 20.75% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.62% ( 0.29) | 53.38% ( -0.29) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.47% ( 0.63) | 28.52% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.69% ( 0.78) | 64.3% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.7% Total : 44.76% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.67% Total : 30.45% |
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