We say: Napoli 3-2 Fiorentina
An entertaining contest with plenty of goalmouth action between two attack-minded teams could be on the cards at the Stadio San Paolo.
After such a heavy defeat at the weekend, a response from Fiorentina is expected on Thursday as they aim to return to winning ways; however, the hosts may just do enough to advance to the quarter-finals.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (4.62%).