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PL
Coppa Italia | Fourth Round
Nov 25, 2020 at 1.30pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
2 - 1
Cosenza

Brunetta (13', 39')
Iacoponi (29')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Corsi (38')
Lhassine Kone (48'), Schiavi (55')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia Fourth Round clash between Parma and Cosenza Calcio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
ParmaDrawCosenza Calcio
39.58%26.45%33.97%
Both teams to score 52.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.67%52.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.98%74.02%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08%25.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.08%60.91%
Cosenza Calcio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79%29.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.84%65.16%
Score Analysis
    Parma 39.58%
    Cosenza Calcio 33.97%
    Draw 26.45%
ParmaDrawCosenza Calcio
1-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 6.9%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-0 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 39.58%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.57%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 9.32%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-2 @ 5.73%
1-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.97%


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