Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-0 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
Result | ||
Dordrecht | Draw | Heracles |
17.48% ( 1.2) | 21.18% ( 1.25) | 61.33% ( -2.45) |
Both teams to score 53.08% ( -1.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.33% ( -3.49) | 43.66% ( 3.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.95% ( -3.51) | 66.05% ( 3.51) |
Dordrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.53% ( -0.67) | 38.47% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.78% ( -0.64) | 75.22% ( 0.64) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.27% ( -1.79) | 13.73% ( 1.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59% ( -3.67) | 41% ( 3.67) |
Score Analysis |
Dordrecht | Draw | Heracles |
1-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.65) 2-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.2% Total : 17.48% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.69) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.77) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.18% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.88) 0-2 @ 10.41% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.89% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 6.58% ( -0.44) 0-4 @ 3.42% ( -0.41) 1-4 @ 3.27% ( -0.46) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.27) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.25) 0-5 @ 1.36% ( -0.27) 1-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.96% Total : 61.32% |
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