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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2020 at 5.45pm UK
 
DG

SBV Excelsior
1 - 2
De Graafschap

Niemeijer (18' pen.)
Oude Kotte (68'), Mendes Moreira (90+5')
Ormonde-Ottewill (24')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hamdaoui (3'), Seuntjens (89')
Schuurman (4'), Hamdaoui (72')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and De Graafschap.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.37%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for De Graafschap in this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawDe Graafschap
31.29%22.35%46.37%
Both teams to score 65.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.65%34.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.74%56.25%
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88%22.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.5%55.49%
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.62%15.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.83%44.17%
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 31.29%
    De Graafschap 46.37%
    Draw 22.35%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawDe Graafschap
2-1 @ 7.25%
1-0 @ 5.13%
2-0 @ 3.87%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 3.41%
3-0 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 31.29%
1-1 @ 9.61%
2-2 @ 6.79%
0-0 @ 3.4%
3-3 @ 2.13%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 9%
0-1 @ 6.37%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 5.61%
2-3 @ 4.24%
0-3 @ 3.72%
1-4 @ 2.63%
2-4 @ 1.98%
0-4 @ 1.74%
3-4 @ 1%
1-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 46.37%


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