With Tomasson almost certainly making widespread changes to his Rovers side, Hartlepool will feel like the door is slightly ajar when it comes to causing a surprise. However, the home team should still have too much quality in their ranks to earn a relatively comfortable victory.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
-0.1) 
0.3) 
