MX23RW : Sunday, May 18 17:31:25
SM
Brighton vs. Liverpool: 1 day 1 hr 28 mins
Upcoming predictions and previews
LL
EFL Cup | Final
Mar 16, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Wembley Stadium
NL

Liverpool
1 - 2
Newcastle

Chiesa (90+4')
Chiesa (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burn (45'), Isak (52')
Tonali (90+9'), Pope (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 PSG (1-4 pen.)
Tuesday, March 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: West Ham 0-1 Newcastle
Monday, March 10 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 16.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 3-1 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
LiverpoolDrawNewcastle United
65.23% (0.081000000000003 0.08) 18.31% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 16.46% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 61.33% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.09% (0.151 0.15)31.9% (-0.155 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.54% (0.17599999999999 0.18)53.45% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.77% (0.057000000000002 0.06)9.22% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.79% (0.14200000000001 0.14)31.2% (-0.146 -0.15)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (0.052999999999997 0.05)32.43% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.04% (0.061 0.06)68.95% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 65.23%
    Newcastle United 16.46%
    Draw 18.31%
LiverpoolDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.5% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.6% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.13% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.75%
4-1 @ 4.53% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.28% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.02% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.55% (0.015 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.16% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.92% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.22% (0.011 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.96% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 65.23%
1-1 @ 8.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 18.31%
1-2 @ 4.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.37% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 16.46%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 PSG (1-4 pen.)
Tuesday, March 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Southampton
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Liverpool
Wednesday, March 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Newcastle
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 0-2 Liverpool
Sunday, February 23 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Liverpool
Wednesday, February 19 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 0-1 Newcastle
Monday, March 10 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-2 Brighton
Sunday, March 2 at 1.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Newcastle
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 4-3 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, February 23 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 4-0 Newcastle
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Birmingham 2-3 Newcastle
Saturday, February 8 at 5.45pm in FA Cup


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.



. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .