SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Arsenal |
30.74% ( -0.43) | 24.53% ( 0.14) | 44.72% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 57.66% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.96% ( -0.81) | 45.04% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.61% ( -0.78) | 67.39% ( 0.79) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% ( -0.68) | 27.7% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.74% ( -0.88) | 63.26% ( 0.89) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.75% ( -0.2) | 20.25% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.42% ( -0.33) | 52.58% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.74% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.87% Total : 44.72% |
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