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EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals
Dec 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
MU

Spurs
4 - 3
Man Utd

Solanke (15', 54'), Kulusevski (46'), Heung-min (88')
Sarr (23'), Maddison (78'), Bergvall (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zirkzee (63'), Diallo (70'), Evans (90+4')
Mazraoui (25'), Bayindir (88'), Fernandes (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 0-5 Spurs
Sunday, December 15 at 7pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-2 Man Utd
Sunday, December 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.31%) and 3-1 (5.12%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawManchester United
41.8% (-0.947 -0.95) 22.06% (0.111 0.11) 36.13% (0.834 0.83)
Both teams to score 68.84% (-0.256 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.76% (-0.402 -0.4)31.23% (0.402 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.33% (-0.479 -0.48)52.66% (0.477 0.48)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.16% (-0.521 -0.52)15.84% (0.52 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.97% (-0.967 -0.97)45.02% (0.965 0.97)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (0.20100000000001 0.2)18.2% (-0.202 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.78% (0.342 0.34)49.21% (-0.343 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 41.8%
    Manchester United 36.13%
    Draw 22.07%
Tottenham HotspurDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.31% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-3 @ 1.14% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 41.8%
1-1 @ 9.05% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-2 @ 7.1% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 2.88% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 2.48% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.07%
1-2 @ 7.71% (0.133 0.13)
0-1 @ 4.91% (0.139 0.14)
1-3 @ 4.38% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.18% (0.145 0.15)
2-3 @ 4.03% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.098 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.056 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.72% (0.021 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.13%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Southampton 0-5 Spurs
Sunday, December 15 at 7pm in Premier League
Last Game: Rangers 1-1 Spurs
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Spurs 3-4 Chelsea
Sunday, December 8 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Spurs
Thursday, December 5 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-1 Fulham
Sunday, December 1 at 1.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 2-2 Roma
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Man City 1-2 Man Utd
Sunday, December 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Plzen 1-2 Man Utd
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-3 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, December 7 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Man Utd
Wednesday, December 4 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 4-0 Everton
Sunday, December 1 at 1.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-2 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Europa League


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