Charlton
2 - 1
Aston Villa U21s

Burstow (15'), Stockley (43' pen.)
Morgan (38')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Thorndike (40')
Philogene-Bidace (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Charlton Athletic and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 84.04%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 5.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.76%) and 4-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.09%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 0-1 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton Athletic	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
84.04%	10.78%	5.18%

Both teams to score 45.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.33%

29.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.19%

50.81%

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.97%

5.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.93%

20.07%

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.53%

52.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.69%

86.31%

Score Analysis

Charlton Athletic 84.03%

Aston Villa Under-21s 5.18%

Draw 10.78%

Charlton Athletic	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
2-0 @ 11.8% 3-0 @ 11.76% 4-0 @ 8.8% 1-0 @ 7.89% 2-1 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 7.59% 4-1 @ 5.68% 5-0 @ 5.27% 5-1 @ 3.4% 6-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.83% 6-1 @ 1.69% 7-0 @ 1.12% 5-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.43% Total : 84.03%	1-1 @ 5.09% 0-0 @ 2.64% 2-2 @ 2.46% Other @ 0.59% Total : 10.78%	0-1 @ 1.7% 1-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 1.84% Total : 5.18%