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Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Dec 12, 2020 at 7pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
PZ

Ajax
4 - 0
PEC Zwolle

Huntelaar (7'), Promes (11'), Antony (35'), Gravenberch (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 74.95%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.94%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawPEC Zwolle
74.95%14.21%10.84%
Both teams to score 61.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.14%24.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.25%44.74%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.4%5.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.24%21.76%
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94%35.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19%71.8%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 74.95%
    PEC Zwolle 10.85%
    Draw 14.21%
AjaxDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 8.55%
3-1 @ 8.22%
2-0 @ 8.16%
3-0 @ 7.84%
4-1 @ 5.92%
1-0 @ 5.66%
4-0 @ 5.65%
3-2 @ 4.31%
5-1 @ 3.42%
5-0 @ 3.26%
4-2 @ 3.11%
5-2 @ 1.79%
6-1 @ 1.64%
6-0 @ 1.57%
4-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 4.76%
Total : 74.95%
1-1 @ 5.94%
2-2 @ 4.48%
0-0 @ 1.96%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 14.21%
1-2 @ 3.11%
0-1 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.57%
1-3 @ 1.09%
0-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 10.85%

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