Twente have been firing on all cylinders and will certainly take some stopping here. We are tipping the home side to come away with all three points, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 68.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
68.93% ( 3.75)	18.3% ( -1.67)	12.76% ( -2.08)

Both teams to score 51.13% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.68% (

2.91)

40.32% (

-2.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.3% (

2.93)

62.7% (

-2.93)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.37% (

1.84)

10.63% (

-1.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.54% (

3.98)

34.46% (

-3.98)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.21% (

-1.22)

42.79% (

1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.89% (

-1.06)

79.11% (

1.06)

Score Analysis

FC Twente 68.92%

Fortuna Sittard 12.76%

Draw 18.3%

FC Twente	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
2-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.6) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.74) 3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.41) 4-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.73) 4-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.5) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.46) 5-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.34) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.16) Other @ 4.22% Total : 68.92%	1-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.82) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.64) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.98% Total : 18.3%	0-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.69) 1-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.49) 0-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.38% Total : 12.76%