SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 90.79%. A draw had a probability of 6.1% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 3.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 4-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.55%) and 5-0 (7.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.45%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (0.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Feyenoord in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
90.79% ( -0.41) | 6.12% ( 0.27) | 3.1% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.25% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 86.65% ( -0.69) | 13.35% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 72.04% ( -1.15) | 27.97% ( 1.15) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 98.34% ( -0.11) | 1.66% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 91.52% ( -0.5) | 8.48% ( 0.51) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.17% ( -0.14) | 44.83% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.2% ( -0.11) | 80.8% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 4-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.21)5-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.26)5-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.19)6-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.16)6-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.14)1-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.18)7-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.05)7-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.13)6-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.06)8-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.1)8-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.09)7-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 5.38% Total : 90.79% | 1-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.65% Total : 6.12% | 1-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.11% Total : 3.1% |
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