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Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
A

Sittard
0 - 5
Ajax


Janssen (49')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Berghuis (11'), Mazraoui (27'), Tadic (38'), Kudus (72'), Tagliafico (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 70.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.32%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Fortuna SittardDrawAjax
12.32%17.31%70.37%
Both teams to score 53.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.27%36.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.1%58.9%
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.86%41.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.31%77.68%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.68%9.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.56%31.44%
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Sittard 12.32%
    Ajax 70.36%
    Draw 17.31%
Fortuna SittardDrawAjax
2-1 @ 3.59%
1-0 @ 3.41%
2-0 @ 1.51%
3-2 @ 1.26%
3-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 12.32%
1-1 @ 8.08%
2-2 @ 4.26%
0-0 @ 3.83%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.31%
0-2 @ 10.79%
1-2 @ 9.59%
0-1 @ 9.1%
0-3 @ 8.54%
1-3 @ 7.59%
0-4 @ 5.07%
1-4 @ 4.5%
2-3 @ 3.37%
0-5 @ 2.41%
1-5 @ 2.14%
2-4 @ 2%
0-6 @ 0.95%
2-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 70.36%

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