To a large extent, both clubs can throw caution to the win on Sunday in the hope of securing a much-needed three points. However, there is also value in each team not ending the season with a defeat, something which may lead to a low-scoring draw being played out.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Cambuur win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
0.21) 
-0.42) 
