These teams are evenly matched and have put together some solid defensive performances this season, with both being involved in several tight games.
That 5-0 defeat against the Dutch champions will not sit well with Tobiasen and his side, so we expect them to come out more determined on Sunday against a side who tend to get overwhelmed late in matches when a game is close.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
-0.74) 
0.25) 
