Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
