With only the league title left to play for, Ajax can turn fully their attention to securing a 36th domestic crown. We are tipping them to cruise to a comfortable victory in this one, scoring plenty of goals en route.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 82.96%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for NEC had a probability of 5.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.87%) and 0-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.46%), while for a NEC win it was 1-0 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.