Buoyed by their recent victory, Willem II will head to Eindhoven with the wind in their sails, but awaiting them is a PSV side currently firing on all cylinders. We are backing the hosts to emerge triumphant at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 88.49%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 3.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 4-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.76%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (1.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Willem II
88.49%	8.03%	3.47%

Both teams to score 43.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.22%

23.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.67%

43.33%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.65%

3.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

85.28%

14.72%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.47%

54.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.4%

87.6%

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 88.49%

Willem II 3.47%

Draw 8.03%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Willem II
3-0 @ 11.95% 2-0 @ 10.54% 4-0 @ 10.16% 3-1 @ 7.25% 5-0 @ 6.91% 2-1 @ 6.4% 1-0 @ 6.2% 4-1 @ 6.16% 5-1 @ 4.19% 6-0 @ 3.92% 6-1 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.2% 7-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.87% 5-2 @ 1.27% 7-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 4.04% Total : 88.49%	1-1 @ 3.76% 2-2 @ 1.94% 0-0 @ 1.82% Other @ 0.51% Total : 8.03%	1-2 @ 1.14% 0-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.23% Total : 3.47%