AZ are in better form coming into Saturday's game, while they also boast a good record in this fixture. We are tipping them to narrowly edge out their hosts in what should be a keenly-contested encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
18.55%	22.34%	59.11%

Both teams to score 51.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.04%

46.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.79%

69.21%

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.81%

39.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.1%

75.9%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.47%

15.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.55%

44.45%

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 18.55%

AZ Alkmaar 59.11%

Draw 22.33%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 5.7% 2-1 @ 4.97% 2-0 @ 2.67% 3-1 @ 1.55% 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.21% Total : 18.55%	1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 1% Total : 22.33%	0-1 @ 11.33% 0-2 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-3 @ 6.55% 1-3 @ 6.14% 0-4 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 2.86% 2-4 @ 1.34% 0-5 @ 1.14% 1-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.32% Total : 59.11%