SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Utrecht |
48.81% ( 0.29) | 23.94% ( 0.05) | 27.25% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.57% ( -0.48) | 44.43% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.2% ( -0.47) | 66.8% ( 0.47) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( -0.08) | 18.31% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.6% ( -0.13) | 49.4% ( 0.13) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% ( -0.5) | 29.83% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.09% ( -0.61) | 65.91% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.39% 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.49% Total : 48.81% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.19% Total : 27.25% |
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