While their destiny is currently not in their own hands, Willem will be looking to give themselves a last shot at survival with all three points in this one. We are fancying them to emerge victorious, albeit by only the narrowest of margins.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
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