SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.93%) and 0-2 (5.42%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Backa Topola | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
34.09% ( -0.04) | 22.39% ( -0.01) | 43.51% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 67% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.58% ( 0.03) | 33.42% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.79% ( 0.04) | 55.2% ( -0.04) |
| Backa Topola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.82% ( -0) | 20.18% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.52% ( -0.01) | 52.48% ( 0.01) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.93% ( 0.04) | 16.07% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.56% ( 0.06) | 45.44% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Backa Topola | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.48% 4-3 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 34.09% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.26% ( 0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.93% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.78% Total : 43.51% |
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