SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for APOEL had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest APOEL win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | APOEL |
39.58% ( 0) | 24.03% ( 0) | 36.39% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 61.29% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.93% ( -0) | 41.07% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.54% ( -0) | 63.46% ( 0.01) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.08% ( 0) | 20.92% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.36% ( 0) | 53.64% ( 0) |
| APOEL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.5% | 22.5% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.94% ( -0) | 56.06% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | APOEL |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.8% Total : 39.58% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 6.41% 0-0 @ 4.71% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.24% 1-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.39% |
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