Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Arena Naţională
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sikharulidze (69'), Tabatadze (78')
Nonikashvili (30'), Goshteliani (80'), Jinjolava (86'), Chaduneli (90+3')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between FCSB and Saburtalo Tbilisi.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FCSB win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Saburtalo Tbilisi had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FCSB win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Saburtalo Tbilisi win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FCSB would win this match.
| Result |
| FCSB | Draw | Saburtalo Tbilisi |
42.87% ( 0.02) | 23.83% ( -0) | 33.29% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.28% ( -0) |
| 59.22% | 40.78% ( -0) |
| 36.83% ( 0) | 63.16% ( -0) |
| 80.69% ( 0.01) | 19.3% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.94% ( 0.02) | 51.05% ( -0.02) |
| 75.94% ( -0.01) | 24.06% ( 0.01) |
