SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.
| Result | ||
| NK Olimpija Ljubljana | Draw | Lille |
27.31% ( -0.04) | 24.59% ( 0.03) | 48.1% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.75% ( -0.15) | 47.25% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.52% ( -0.14) | 69.47% ( 0.14) |
| NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.74% ( -0.11) | 31.26% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.39% ( -0.13) | 67.61% ( 0.12) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.3% ( -0.06) | 19.7% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.29% ( -0.09) | 51.7% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Olimpija Ljubljana | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.16% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.31% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 48.1% |
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