Partizan have a history of winning 1-0 against Sheriff, so it would not at all be a surprise if it is the same outcome on Thursday night, given that both teams are fairly evenly-matched.
Regardless of how they do it, the Serbian side should be able to do enough to progress to the round of 16, as they are in a very strong position after edging a victory in the first leg.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Partizan had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Partizan win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheriff Tiraspol would win this match.
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