Looking to avoid the stress of requiring a result in their last match, Mourinho will likely name a strong side on Thursday. While their defensive frailties could be on show again, the Italian giants should have plenty in the tank to post a convincing win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 11.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.08%) and 3-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.67%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
