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Europa League | Third Qualifying Round
Sep 24, 2020 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes

Granada
2 - 0
Lokomotivi Tbilisi

Machis (48'), Molina (90+1')
Soldado (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dartsmelia (9'), Oulad Omar (22'), Gabadze (54')
Gabadze (59')
Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between Granada and Lokomotiv Tbilisi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Lokomotivi Tbilisi had a probability of 15.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Lokomotivi Tbilisi win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.

Result
GranadaDrawLokomotiv Tbilisi
62%22.07%15.93%
Both teams to score 47.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.94%50.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.97%72.03%
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.38%15.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.37%44.63%
Lokomotiv Tbilisi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.75%44.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.67%80.32%
Score Analysis
    Granada 62%
    Lokomotiv Tbilisi 15.93%
    Draw 22.07%
GranadaDrawLokomotiv Tbilisi
1-0 @ 12.83%
2-0 @ 11.91%
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 6.01%
4-0 @ 3.42%
4-1 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 2.45%
5-0 @ 1.27%
4-2 @ 1.14%
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 62%
1-1 @ 10.46%
0-0 @ 6.91%
2-2 @ 3.96%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 22.07%
0-1 @ 5.64%
1-2 @ 4.27%
0-2 @ 2.3%
1-3 @ 1.16%
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 15.93%


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