Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 75.09%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Slovan Liberec had a probability of 8.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.63%) and 3-0 (10.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Slovan Liberec win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.