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Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 29, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Stadion Rajko Mitić

Red Star
5 - 1
Slovan Liberec

Fardou Ben (7', 22'), Gajic (50'), Katai (67'), Falcinelli (70')
Borjan (66'), Sanogo (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Matousek (41')
Coverage of the Europa League Group Stage clash between Red Star Belgrade and Slovan Liberec.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 75.09%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Slovan Liberec had a probability of 8.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.63%) and 3-0 (10.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a Slovan Liberec win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.

Result
Red Star BelgradeDrawSlovan Liberec
75.09%16.5%8.41%
Both teams to score 41.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.2%44.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.84%67.16%
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.73%10.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.36%33.64%
Slovan Liberec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.93%54.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.68%87.32%
Score Analysis
    Red Star Belgrade 75.07%
    Slovan Liberec 8.41%
    Draw 16.5%
Red Star BelgradeDrawSlovan Liberec
2-0 @ 14.38%
1-0 @ 12.63%
3-0 @ 10.91%
2-1 @ 8.84%
3-1 @ 6.71%
4-0 @ 6.21%
4-1 @ 3.82%
5-0 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 2.06%
5-1 @ 1.74%
4-2 @ 1.17%
6-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 75.07%
1-1 @ 7.77%
0-0 @ 5.55%
2-2 @ 2.72%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 16.5%
0-1 @ 3.41%
1-2 @ 2.39%
0-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 8.41%


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