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Europa League | First Qualifying Round
Aug 27, 2020 at 5pm UK
Kapital Bank Arena

Sumqayit
0 - 2
Skendija 79


Mammadov (12'), Mutallimov (34'), Huseynov (55'), Abdullazada (85')
Mutallimov (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ibraimi (56' pen.), Doriev (89' pen.)
Coverage of the Europa League First Qualifying Round clash between Sumqayit and Shkendija.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Skendija 79 win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sumqayit had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Skendija 79 win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.07%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Sumqayit win it was 1-0 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Skendija 79 would win this match.

Result
SumqayitDrawShkendija
17.36%24.36%58.27%
Both teams to score 43.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.54%56.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.54%77.46%
Sumqayit Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.79%46.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.12%81.88%
Shkendija Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.75%19.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.03%50.97%
Score Analysis
    Sumqayit 17.36%
    Shkendija 58.27%
    Draw 24.36%
SumqayitDrawShkendija
1-0 @ 6.87%
2-1 @ 4.37%
2-0 @ 2.65%
3-1 @ 1.12%
3-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 17.36%
1-1 @ 11.31%
0-0 @ 8.9%
2-2 @ 3.6%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 14.65%
0-2 @ 12.07%
1-2 @ 9.32%
0-3 @ 6.63%
1-3 @ 5.12%
0-4 @ 2.73%
1-4 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 58.27%


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