While the hosts have been struggling recently, the visitors have been in great form under their new manager and come into this game as the favourites to secure a lead for the return leg at home.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 54.31%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.