Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 45%. A win for Wales had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Wales win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
