SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 49.28%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Newcastle United |
49.28% ( 0.27) | 24.22% ( -0.08) | 26.49% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 55.7% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.73% ( 0.17) | 46.26% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.44% ( 0.16) | 68.55% ( -0.17) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( 0.17) | 18.84% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.71% ( 0.29) | 50.28% ( -0.3) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.63% ( -0.07) | 31.37% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.26% ( -0.08) | 67.74% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 49.28% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 26.5% |
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