SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
42.18% ( -0.01) | 25.52% ( -0.02) | 32.3% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.01% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.19% ( 0.08) | 48.8% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.09% ( 0.07) | 70.9% ( -0.07) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.99% ( 0.03) | 23.01% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.18% ( 0.04) | 56.81% ( -0.04) |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.45% ( 0.06) | 28.55% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.66% ( 0.07) | 64.33% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 42.18% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.3% |
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