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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
PA

Brentford
0 - 1
Plymouth

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Whittaker (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 0-5 Brentford
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Brentford 4-1 Plymouth Argyle

Brentford will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top this weekend. Taking into account the hosts' impressive home form as well as Plymouth's leaky backline - the worst in the EFL that has conceded 53 goals - we can see the Bees securing safe passage through to the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 59.65%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 20.55% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.61%) and 3-1 (7.14%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
BrentfordDrawPlymouth Argyle
59.65% (0.217 0.22) 19.8% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 20.55% (-0.148 -0.15)
Both teams to score 63.91% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.86% (0.158 0.16)32.13% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.27% (0.185 0.19)53.72% (-0.19 -0.19)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.37% (0.101 0.1)10.63% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.54% (0.233 0.23)34.45% (-0.238 -0.24)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.51% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)28.49% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.74% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)64.26% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 59.65%
    Plymouth Argyle 20.55%
    Draw 19.8%
BrentfordDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 7.14% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.79% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.68% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.48% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 4% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.19% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.51% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.79% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.43% (0.019 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.013 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 59.65%
1-1 @ 8.52% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.88% (0.0039999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 19.8%
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-1 @ 3.8% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 20.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Southampton 0-5 Brentford
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-3 Arsenal
Wednesday, January 1 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Brentford
Friday, December 27 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 3-1 Brentford
Wednesday, December 18 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Brentford
Sunday, December 15 at 7pm in Premier League
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 2-2 Bristol City
Wednesday, January 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Plymouth
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 4-0 Plymouth
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Plymouth
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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