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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6%) and 0-2 (5.23%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Chelsea |
36.18% ( -0.72) | 22.72% ( -0.24) | 41.09% ( 0.95) |
| Both teams to score 66.26% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.41% ( 1.12) | 34.59% ( -1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.47% ( 1.25) | 56.53% ( -1.25) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.31% ( 0.16) | 19.68% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.32% ( 0.26) | 51.68% ( -0.26) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.5% ( 0.87) | 17.49% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52% ( 1.5) | 47.99% ( -1.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.3)2-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.33% Total : 36.18% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.72% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.23% 1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.07)3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.18% Total : 41.1% |
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