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BC
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 12pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
WL

Bristol City
1 - 2
Wolves

Twine (45+1')
McGuane (29')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ait-Nouri (10'), Gomes (21')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Derby
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wolves 0-3 Nott'm Forest
Monday, January 6 at 8pm in Premier League

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers

Taking into account that fact that Bristol City are set to name a relatively strong lineup and Wolves could be without a number of players, there may be little to separate these two teams this weekend. The Robins have looked strong on home soil in recent weeks, while the Old Gold continue to look vulnerable in defence, so we are backing the hosts to claim a Premier League scalp and advance to the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 61.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 17.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
61.52% (-0.551 -0.55) 21.39% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 17.09% (0.504 0.5)
Both teams to score 51.61% (0.90499999999999 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.79% (0.669 0.67)45.21% (-0.669 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.44% (0.637 0.64)67.56% (-0.63699999999999 -0.64)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.82% (0.042999999999992 0.04)14.18% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.13% (0.088000000000001 0.09)41.87% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.14% (1.023 1.02)39.86% (-1.024 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.47% (0.93 0.93)76.53% (-0.92999999999999 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 61.52%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 17.09%
    Draw 21.38%
Bristol CityDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 11.04% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-0 @ 10.78% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.02% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.46% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.43% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.16% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.094 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.049 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 61.52%
1-1 @ 10.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.138 0.14)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.38%
0-1 @ 5.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 4.67% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.39% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 17.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Derby
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 2-2 Bristol City
Wednesday, January 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 3-0 Portsmouth
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Luton
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Bristol City
Sunday, December 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 QPR
Saturday, December 14 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Wolves 0-3 Nott'm Forest
Monday, January 6 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 2-2 Wolves
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 2-0 Man Utd
Thursday, December 26 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 0-3 Wolves
Sunday, December 22 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Ipswich
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 2-1 Wolves
Monday, December 9 at 8pm in Premier League


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