SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 77.54%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 8.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 5-0 win for Chelsea in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Morecambe |
77.54% ( -0) | 13.47% ( 0.01) | 8.99% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.29% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.74% ( -0.03) | 27.26% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.18% ( -0.04) | 47.82% ( 0.04) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.32% ( -0) | 5.68% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.04% ( -0.02) | 21.96% ( 0.03) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.68% ( -0.02) | 40.33% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.05% ( -0.02) | 76.95% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Morecambe |
| 2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.01% ( 0)2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0)3-1 @ 8.18% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.46% 4-1 @ 5.87% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.71% ( -0)5-1 @ 3.37% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.66% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.77% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.61% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 5.12% Total : 77.54% | 1-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 13.47% | 1-2 @ 2.71% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.08% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)0-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 8.99% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
