SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Manchester City |
27.43% ( -0.2) | 23.63% ( -0.06) | 48.94% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 58.52% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.09% ( 0.15) | 42.91% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.69% ( 0.14) | 65.31% ( -0.14) |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.09% ( -0.07) | 28.91% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.21% ( -0.08) | 64.79% ( 0.09) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.32% ( 0.16) | 17.68% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.69% ( 0.27) | 48.31% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.44% Total : 27.43% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.5% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.76% Total : 48.94% |
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