SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 74.29%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Salford City had a probability of 10.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 3-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a Salford City win it was 1-2 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Salford City |
74.29% ( 0.05) | 14.85% ( 0.06) | 10.86% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.31% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.69% ( -0.7) | 28.31% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.88% ( -0.88) | 49.13% ( 0.88) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.52% ( -0.15) | 6.48% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.8% ( -0.41) | 24.2% ( 0.41) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.35% ( -0.71) | 37.65% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.57% ( -0.7) | 74.43% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Salford City |
| 2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 3.12% 5-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.65% Total : 74.29% | 1-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.24% Total : 14.85% | 1-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.68% Total : 10.86% |
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