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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 12pm UK
Riverside Stadium
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Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Blackburn


McCabe (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Weimann (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Cardiff
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Blackburn Rovers (Middlesbrough win on penalties)

There is almost nothing to separate the sides in the Championship table, and both managers could be tempted to make some personnel changes with the promotion picture hotting up. The two sides have won very few games in recent weeks, and this one may go all the way, with Boro proving tough to beat, even if they have only won two of their last six matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBlackburn Rovers
58.84% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 22.31% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 18.85% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.57% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)46.43% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)68.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.56% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)15.44% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.72% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)44.28% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.45% (0.019000000000005 0.02)38.55% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.71% (0.018999999999998 0.02)75.29% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 58.82%
    Blackburn Rovers 18.85%
    Draw 22.31%
MiddlesbroughDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 11.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 2.88% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37%
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 58.82%
1-1 @ 10.59%
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.31%
0-1 @ 5.67% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 5.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 18.85%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Cardiff
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, January 1 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-0 Burnley
Sunday, December 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-3 Sheff Weds
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Hull City
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-2 Sunderland
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Blackburn
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-0 Luton
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Championship


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