SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
44.04% ( 0.02) | 22.93% ( 0.07) | 33.02% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 64.53% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.52% ( -0.39) | 36.48% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.37% ( -0.43) | 58.62% ( 0.43) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.92% ( -0.15) | 17.08% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.73% ( -0.27) | 47.26% ( 0.26) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.82% ( -0.23) | 22.18% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.42% ( -0.35) | 55.58% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 4.23% Total : 44.04% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.39% Total : 33.02% |
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