Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 54.77%. A win for Lens had a probability of 22.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Lens win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.06) 
