Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
0.46) 
-0.48) 
